tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6926413038778731189.post2859092449566123039..comments2023-10-16T07:13:12.123-05:00Comments on A plain blog about politics: Calendar SetJonathan Bernsteinhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/15931039630306253241noreply@blogger.comBlogger2125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6926413038778731189.post-39118574042516407062011-11-03T07:50:53.935-05:002011-11-03T07:50:53.935-05:00A couple of things:
1) I have not made that same a...A couple of things:<br />1) I have not made that same assessment of the Nevada GOP and RNC relationship because it is more complicated than that. That said, you are right to point out that Nevada is there (the front of the calendar) by virtue of the process within the Democratic Party. The Nevada Republican caucuses were written into the RNC delegate selection rules in 2012 in a way that they weren't in 2008 and have been given some assurance by the national party that they will be there again in 2016. Now, whether that is before or after Florida will depend on whether the RNC decides to solve the Florida problem by simply including them in the mix at the front in a more formalized way. [That may be, fine it is, the path of least resistance for both national parties.]<br /><br />2) Yes, the RNC got what it wanted for the most part: a spread out process with a beginning that while a month earlier than the party would have otherwise wanted, still maintains the same basic order codified in the rules from 2010. However, one thing that should always be mentioned along side of this is that the RNC got a major assist from Democratic-controlled states that opted to not only move back, but move back into the April-June period. The DNC may not be so lucky in 2016. They will have a contested nomination race no matter what and the same pressure to move up that existed pre-2008 will be present in 2015 in a way that it was not this time around with nothing on the line. Now, I don't know that that means a repeat of the predictable "chaos" we have witnessed during this cycle, but the motivation will be there for a great many of those Democratic-controlled states that moved back this time to move back up for 2016. <br /><br />The more interesting thing to watch between now and 2015 is what the national parties do with their rules and penalties at their conventions next year and in the likely-to-be-formed commissions to reexamine the rules in 2013-14.Josh Putnamhttp://frontloading.blogspot.com/noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6926413038778731189.post-90650331628841099232011-11-03T03:15:44.340-05:002011-11-03T03:15:44.340-05:00I hope your view that the party actors are decidin...I hope your view that the party actors are deciding the nomination is correct because nothing will change the rush to be first. Not with the media focusing so heavily on the horse race aspect. If the parties want to use a primary system to choose their nominees, it should be a slow and methodical process but that just doesn’t sell very well. The whole thing has become a colossal bore to me.Bajsanoreply@blogger.com