tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6926413038778731189.post5814400559927623974..comments2023-10-16T07:13:12.123-05:00Comments on A plain blog about politics: More on Early Nomination PollingJonathan Bernsteinhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/15931039630306253241noreply@blogger.comBlogger1125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6926413038778731189.post-40779377066388407472011-05-10T09:33:19.942-05:002011-05-10T09:33:19.942-05:00It strikes me that, to some degree, academics and ...It strikes me that, to some degree, academics and journalists have opposite natural biases when it comes to the interaction of events and trends in producing an election result.<br /><br />Greatly simplifying, but journalists must have a natural bias toward the breaking story. It is their bread and butter, and also their mythology. (<i>"Stop the presses! We're remaking Page One!"</i>)<br /><br />Academics must have a similar bias toward underlying forces and the long term. Their bread and butter is papers meant to be cited, and their mythology centers on classics, works with durable relevance. <br /><br />It is sort of fun (for certain values of 'fun') to watch this dialectic play out.Rickhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/16932015378213238346noreply@blogger.com