tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6926413038778731189.post1965760588102675494..comments2023-10-16T07:13:12.123-05:00Comments on A plain blog about politics: Iowa UpdateJonathan Bernsteinhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/15931039630306253241noreply@blogger.comBlogger7125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6926413038778731189.post-86590617030847276892011-12-28T12:19:01.687-06:002011-12-28T12:19:01.687-06:00A few interesting things: Paul leads with evangel...A few interesting things: Paul leads with evangelicals. Romney's negatives have gone up. Romney is the second choice of 10% and Paul is the second choice of 9%. <br /><br />So things look pretty good for Paul *in this poll.* But the important thing is that there is no movement in the vote percentages since the last PPP poll. And at the time of the last PPP poll, other polls showed Romney winning.Couveshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/00926561539205771774noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6926413038778731189.post-86788956694157170102011-12-28T11:58:12.859-06:002011-12-28T11:58:12.859-06:00KR Smith:
One could make the argument that listeni...KR Smith:<br />One could make the argument that listening to a Paul supporter argue for several hours is tantamount to death.<br /><br />:)<br /><br />/snark<br /><br />(Sorry....I just saw the comment and wanted to make the joke)Matthew Jarvisnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6926413038778731189.post-80017159090077122342011-12-28T11:38:08.363-06:002011-12-28T11:38:08.363-06:00>Mike Huckabee was able to throw together an or...>Mike Huckabee was able to throw together an organization late in the game, in large part based on the home-schooling movement.<br /><br />I'm uncomfortable going off-topic, but as a politically liberal Jew who was homeschooled through high school, who was part of a Jewish homeschooling organization, and who was interviewed for B'nai B'rith's magazine in an article about Jewish homeschoolers, this is a personal issue to me, and I hate seeing it misrepresented.<br /><br />You apparently have fallen prey to the misconception that "the home-schooling movement" is fundamentally a movement of conservative, evangelical Christians who have pulled their children out of traditional schools for religious ideological reasons (say, the teaching of evolution, or sex education).<br /><br />This is a myth. It is a myth that has been perpetuated by evangelical homeschoolers themselves, who like to pretend they're the only homeschoolers in existence.<br /><br />Let's be clear: conservative evangelicals who are homeschooling for religious reasons do not constitute "the homeschooling movement." They do not constitute a majority of the homeschooling movement. They do not constitute anything close to a majority. They are a slice of the movement, nothing more.<br /><br />The majority of homeschooling families in America are doing it for reasons unrelated to religion. (According to <a href="http://www.census.gov/population/www/documentation/twps0053/twps0053.html" rel="nofollow">census data</a>, only 33% of homeschoolers cite religion as a factor in their homeschooling.) They include people of all faiths and lack thereof. They include Christians, Jews, Muslims, Buddhists, pagans, atheists--you name it. They include people all across the political spectrum. <i>And this has been true for the entirety of the last two decades.</i><br /><br />It may be true that Huck's success in Iowa owed something to the work of conservative Christian homeschoolers, but those activists most definitely did not represent "the homeschooling movement." They represented a particular branch of the movement at most.Kylopodhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/06932528611103718373noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6926413038778731189.post-18996366866913286322011-12-28T09:55:30.947-06:002011-12-28T09:55:30.947-06:00Mike Huckabee was able to throw together an organi...Mike Huckabee was able to throw together an organization late in the game, in large part based on the home-schooling movement.<br /><br />Romney would love a Paul-Romney-Bachmann result.<br /><br />I doubt that the newsletters affair will affect Paul very much -- his supporters seem to be exceptionally devoted -- but they might turn off some college-town liberals who like his foreign-policy isolationism and opposition to the drug war.<br /><br />I agree that Newt would exceptionally vulnerable to a bandwagon effect (how many evangelicals genuinely have him as a first choice?), but it's far from clear to whom his supporters would go.Richard Skinnernoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6926413038778731189.post-63389963544922558172011-12-28T09:37:27.881-06:002011-12-28T09:37:27.881-06:00I understand organization matters but what about H...I understand organization matters but what about Huckabee in 2008? My understanding is that he had no organization. Did the evangelical groups create an informal organization? I'd appreciate any thoughts. Great blog and comments.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6926413038778731189.post-13027619019582747812011-12-28T06:10:48.847-06:002011-12-28T06:10:48.847-06:00Organization was the first thing I thought about w...Organization was the first thing I thought about weeks ago, when Gingrich was running high in national and Iowa polls. I figured the caucuses would be close because both of the top two national candidates had only recently started building their Iowa organizations. That's what gave Paul the chance to slip in; he's always been good at motivating people to fight to the death for him, or at least hang around a caucus for several hours arguing on his behalf.Kevin S.https://www.blogger.com/profile/06076147424768269913noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6926413038778731189.post-39386313675270110752011-12-28T04:40:40.953-06:002011-12-28T04:40:40.953-06:00>Remember, organization matters, too.
It has o...>Remember, organization matters, too.<br /><br />It has occurred to me that you could probably get a better sense of what's going on in Iowa by taking any poll and transferring 5 percentage points from Gingrich's numbers to Paul's.Kylopodhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/06932528611103718373noreply@blogger.com