tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6926413038778731189.post8109745281299465563..comments2023-10-16T07:13:12.123-05:00Comments on A plain blog about politics: Friday Baseball PostJonathan Bernsteinhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/15931039630306253241noreply@blogger.comBlogger2125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6926413038778731189.post-204132752273232402013-11-23T10:29:31.978-06:002013-11-23T10:29:31.978-06:00Yeah, saying that Oswalt is not nearly as good as ...Yeah, saying that Oswalt is not nearly as good as Hudson is a major stretch. Baseball Reference has their normalized stats showing Oswalt as superior -- better record (165-129 v. 140-96) better ERA (3.38 v. 3.57), better K/9 (7.4 v. 6), better K/BB (3.5 v. 2.16). Hudson has the edge only in HR/9 (.7 v. .8)Gordon Danningnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6926413038778731189.post-63552094936138103472013-11-23T01:19:33.963-06:002013-11-23T01:19:33.963-06:00Is Hudson really significantly better than Oswalt?...Is Hudson really significantly better than Oswalt? They have virtually identical ERA- and a similar WAR despite Oswalt pitching 600 fewer innings. <br /><br />What's interesting about Hudson being unlucky with contracts is that he's always outperformed his peripherals - very high winning % and solid ERA despite good but not great BB and K numbers. He didn't seem to get any boost from strong superficial stats.<br /><br />Obviously timing is the big culprit. 2005 would have been his big contract year, but he only signed for 4/47. Two years later Zito got his 7/126, and it's not clear that Zito was a substantially more attractive free agent than Hudson was when he signed. 2007 was just a crazy, inflated year. Alfonso Soriano got 8/136 that year!<br />Drewnoreply@blogger.com