Happy Birthday to Graham Hill, b. 1929, died in a plane crash in 1975. If you're older, more interested in motor sports, or perhaps more British than I am, you might remember him as an apparently outstanding race car driver from the 1960s. For the rest of us, Graham Hill is in an odd category with, oh, Peter Brown from the Ballad of John and Yoko: real people who will be remembered long after they're gone because they were mentioned in something lasting -- in this case, the historical impersonation sketch, with John the Baptist doing Graham Hill. I suppose the all-time champs are people who get mentioned in Shakespeare or the bible. Is there a name for that? Ah well; I'd like to meet someone of superior intelligence, too.
On to the good stuff.
1. It's the national economy, not the various local economies, that appears to drive vote choice; John Sides supplies the evidence. You know my advice: ignore state polls until at least Labor Day.
2. Samuel Arbesman on "Keynesian Beauty Contests and Presidential Primaries." I'd be careful about putting too much weight on this (there's more to primaries than just bandwagon effects), but it's a good point.
3. Andrew Sprung, Obama-watcher, makes a good point about credit, blame, and the presidency.
4. The budget and health care exchanges, from Sarah Kliff.
5. A newly published party networks paper by Seth Masket, David Dulio, and Richard Skinner. Great stuff; Seth describes it.
6. Was Josiah Bartlett a lousy president? Ian Milhiser makes the case.