Happy Birthday to Cesar Rosas, 59.
1. Hey, the Monkey Cage is over at the Post! Excellent. Here's Sarah Binder with a relatively optimistic view of the possibility of averting a debt limit crisis.
2. Jonathan Chait on Obamacare news and the conservative closed information feedback loop (which I think is Chait's phrase originally, but I'm the only one who still uses it as far as I know).
3. Wait -- the House might pass a short-term extension to give them more time to work out the CR! Robert Costa reports. Where have I heard that one before? As I've said: there may be a shutdown, although I still think it's unlikely, but what will not happen is a shutdown because they run out of time.
4. Kevin Drum on ACA subsidies as a tax.