Happy Birthday to Michelle Trachtenberg, 27. Dawn! Also, I'm quite fond of the ice skating movie, and watch at least a few minutes every time it's on. I've almost certainly seen more than half of it by now. And she was on a Clarissa, once. I'm afraid I never watched Gossip Girls, though.
I know, I should just get to the good stuff:
1. Gallup tweaked their methods on October 1; it's possible that Barack Obama's approval ratings apparent increase this month could be related. Alan Abramowitz noticed and analyzed; here's Gallup's statement. See also Mark Blumenthal's old post on why Gallup looked a bit off.
2. The House GOP as the gang that can't shoot straight, from Dana Milbank. See also Kevin Drum.
3. And Ezra Klein on the fiscal cliff. For what it's worth, I sort of like the name, even though I'm firmly in the camp of those who don't think it's even remotely cliff-like.